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AFL Round 14 Preview & Tips

1 month ago

AFL Round 14

Wednesday 16th June, 2021

By Top Rankine


It was nice to find a few more winners last round and I’m confident we’ll find some more here. The odds have really settled now that we’re this deep into the season and quite often we’re finding value in the same players each week.

 

Round 14 Cross Game Multis (14 Unit Strategy)


Multi #1 (4 units @ $8.80)

o   T.Hawkins 2+ @ 1.72

o   B.Ellis 20+ @ 1.25

o   L.Neale 25+ @ 1.40

o   GWS 1-39 @ 2.40

o   D.Parish 30+ @ 1.30

 

Multi #2 (4 units @ $7.26)

o   I.Smith 20+ @ 1.57

o   T.Boak 25+ @ 1.40

o   H.McCluggage 1+ @ 1.62

o   L.Whitfield 25+ @ 1.36

o   N.Hind 20+ @ 1.50

 

Multi #3 (3 units @ $11.41)

o   T.Stewart 20+ @ 1.30

o   K.Amon 20+ @ 1.50

o   Brisbane -33.5 @ 1.90

o   T.Taranto 25+ @ 1.30

o   Essendon 1-39 @ 2.37

 

Multi #4 (3 units @ $8.12)

o   T.Hawkins 2+ @ 1.72

o   B.Ellis 20+ @ 1.25

o   T.Boak 25+ @ 1.40

o   T.Taranto 25+ @ 1.30

o   L.Whitfield 25+ @ 1.36

o   N.Hind 20+ @ 1.50

 

 

 

Geelong v Western Bulldogs (9 Unit Strategy)

There were a lot of markets I liked here, but didn’t love. The result could go either way, so I’m avoiding that bet and I’m wary of Bontempelli receiving a tag, but he’s been going very nicely for 25+. Isaac Smith should bounce back this round and get his 20, whilst Tom Hawkins and Aaron Naughton continue their imposing form as dominant forwards against undersized defences.

Same Game Multi #1 (3 units @ $6.00)

o   I.Smith 20+ @ 1.57

o   C.Daniel 20+ @ 1.22

o   M.Bontempelli 25+ @ 1.67

o   T.Hawkins 2+ @ 1.72

 

Same Game Multi #2 (3 units @ $5.75)

o   M.Blicavs 15+ @ 1.62

o   T.Stewart 20+ @ 1.30

o   M.Bontempelli 25+ @ 1.67

o   A.Naughton 2+ @ 1.72

 

Same Game Multi #3 (3 units @ $5.25)

o   T.Stewart 20+ @ 1.30

o   C.Daniel 20+ @ 1.22

o   P.Dangerfield 1+ @ 1.83

o   T.Hawkins 2+ @ 1.72


BEST BET:

o   T.Hawkins 2+ @ 1.72



 

Gold Coast v Port Adelaide (7 Unit Strategy)

I absolutely love the value in the multi I’ve picked out here. Rozee may present a slight risk, but on the back of 5 goals last week I think he’ll find one here at least.

Same Game Multi #1 (7 units @ $4.00)

o   B.Ellis 20+ @ 1.25

o   K.Amon 20+ @ 1.50

o   T.Boak 25+ @ 1.40

o   C.Rozee 1+ @ 1.40


BEST BET:

o   B.Ellis 20+ @ 1.25

 



North Melbourne v Brisbane (6 Unit Strategy)

I feel like the bookies got the odds about right here, so playing two completely different hands and hoping we’ll land one (or both).

Same Game Multi #1 (3 units @ $4.00)

o   L.Davies-Uniacke 20+ @ 1.67

o   L.Neale 25+ @ 1.40

o   H.McCluggage 1+ @ 1.62

 

Same Game Multi #2 (3 units @ $5.00)

o   Brisbane -33.5 @ 1.90

o   H.Andrews 15+ @ 1.45

o   H.McCluggage 25+ @ 1.57

o   E.Hipwood 2+ @ 1.45


BEST BET:

o   L.Neale 25+ @ 1.40

 

 

 

GWS v Carlton (8 Unit Strategy)

The value here is in Whitfield and Taranto for 25+, I think they’re well over the odds and worth taking where possible. Given how poor Carlton are going, a GWS win seems likely, although I wouldn’t expect them to win by a large margin.

Same Game Multi #1 (3 units @ $5.25)

o   GWS 1-39 @ 2.40

o   I.Cumming 20+ @ 1.40

o   L.Whitfield 25+ @ 1.36

o   T.Taranto 25+ @ 1.30

 

Same Game Multi #2 (3 units @ $3.75) *Updated Thursday 7.30pm

o   I.Cumming 20+ @ 1.45

o   L.Whitfield 25+ @ 1.40

o   T.Taranto 30+ @ 2.00

 

Same Game Multi #3 (2 units @ $5.50) *Updated Thursday 7.30pm

o   GWS 1-39 @ 2.40

o   L.Whitfield 25+ @ 1.36

o   I.Cumming 20+ @ 1.45

o   H.McKay 2+ @ 1.28


BEST BET:

o   T.Taranto 25+ @ 1.30

 



Hawthorn v Essendon (6 Unit Strategy)

Another multi I’m a fan of in this game. It’s a simple bet, but I like our chances. Essendon have played well and should win despite a great Hawthorn win last week. Hind and Parish are two relatively safe plays given their numbers this season.

Same Game Multi #1 (6 units @ $4.33)

o   Essendon 1-39 @ 2.37

o   N.Hind 20+ @ 1.50

o   D.Parish 30+ @ 1.30


BEST BET:

o   N.Hind 20+ @ 1.50