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The Melbourne Review April 3

2 months ago

OVERVIEW

I had a few messages re he Caulfield track on Saturday and how it was "leader bias" - before we form an angry mob and head down to Caulfield with pitch forks, it's worth remembering a couple of things...There was a saveg head wind on Saturday and typically this favours horses on or near the speed, it's harder for horses to sprint with a peak effort into the wind and make ground on those ahead. It was a heavy track on Saturday - it doesn't matter where you're racing, heavy ground typicaly means it's harder for horses to sprint at peak effort from off the pace and win. We were tacing at Caulfield - the track has been playing on-pace for the last 10 years, why would it stop now?!

STAND OUT WINS

R3 BUFFALO RIVER: Wow. This was one of the best performances that I saw anywhere in Australia on Saturday. First-up with 60kg's at 1400m on heavy ground and working very hard at pace from the wide gate - the horse was absolutely jogging off the turn and won with arrogant ease. His 1200m-1000m furlong of 10.91sec was the fastest recorded at that section for the entire meeting. He's Group class, but the best thing is he is eligible for a BM90 next start AND still has room at the handicap with his current rating of 87! He should be winning again next start.

R4 OASIS GIRL: A bit like Buffalo River in the previous race, Oasis Girl had to work from a wide gate to find the front in this even, nowhere near the same pace as BF but it was work all the same. She looked really comfortable once she found the lead and ran out a strong winner second-up on a heavy deck, I like her a bit and there should be more improvement to come.

R6 DIAMOND EFFORT: Considering this mare bled from both nostrils during the run, her effort to charge over the top of her rivals running the fastest last 600m of the meeting and the second fastest last 400m of the meeting was sensational. We won't see her for three-months now but she will be something to beat when she returns first-up, remembering that bleeders often run to a peak prep run first-up!

HORSES TO FOLLOW

R1 RANTING (2nd): This colt is a really nice type but he's still very much a work in progress. He half woruldn't come off the winner's back in the straight and once he did it was all too late, maybe it was the ground that he wasn't confident on...Keen to see him again and he looks likely to run at least 1400m in time to my eye.

R4 UNDER MY SPELL (2nd): This was a fantastic performance from a filly first-up on heavy ground. Her closing splits from the 400m (23.93) was the third fastest for the meeting and her 200m was Top 10 on the day and she was very strong through the line. She could be something above average and I'd love to see her at 1600-2000m on the back of this, can she make it to the SA Oaks in time?

R5 BROADWAYANDFOURTH (4th): We need to be backing this filly second-up wherever she goes ideally on better ground than what she truck on Saturday though. A clear last at the 600m, Melham tried to stay towards the inside in the straight and weave a way through, the filly made good ground but didn't let go like she can on top of the ground. Stick with her, she's got a class edge on most at this time of year.