Record Keeping

Money (Mis) Management

Money (Mis) Management Part 2

Psychology Of Punting

Barrier Trials: Trial tease or future star?

What is unit betting?

Gear changes explained

Speed maps: How important are they?

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The Melbourne Review Feb 20

2 weeks ago

Gee the rails were not the place to be on Saturday and when the hot weather never came, the deck probably played a bit softer than expected. I half anticipated an advantage to be on or near speed and the rails to be at least even ground when I wrote the preview, it didn't play out like that.

THE BEST WINS

RACE 2 - OXLEY ROAD

Probabeel was the big winner on the day and probably the most impressive but I could not ignore the win of our best bet Oxley Road, who at start number two went and won a Group 3 race like it was nothing. He's a serious colt and there is a lot to like about him, especially given how green he was in the straight. Stick with him as Moody raises the bar again soon. 

HORSES TO FOLLOW

1. SAN HUBERTO (Caulfield Race 1)

Loved this run. San Huberto lacks a turn of foot but he is certainly plenty tough enough. He was very good here with good room for improvement fitness wise based on what I saw of him in the mounting yard, I'd assume they will press on towards a Sydney Cup and if he continues to make good progression I can see him making an impact in that race.

2. IMPECUNIOUS (Caulfield Race 3)

How did this filly not win the race? Super unlucky, she only got clear with 150m to run and nearly won! Sadly it seems that she was galloped on in the aftermath and required veterinary treatment, whether this derails her autumn prep or not I am not sure, but she is the ideal sort of candidate to follow towards a South Australian Oaks - or maybe something a bit better, a Vinery perhaps? 

3. PERFECT JEWEL (Caulfield Race 4)

I wanted to work against this mare on Saturday and we rightly landed on the right mare and eventual winner Rich Hips, but this girl is likely to turn the tables sooner than later. PJ looked big in the yard to me and will really come on for this hit out, when she gets to 1600m on a bigger track she will be very hard to beat.

4. DIRTY WORK (Caulfield Race 8)

Wow we copped some bad luck on Saturday and our top pick in the Oakleigh Plate endured a stack of it. He was held up and checked when trying to hit gears in the straight and never really got a clear crack at them, his final 200m was excellent and he will be a big chance in a Newmarket, William Reid or The Galaxy depending on where the Hawkes team want to head.

5. SEGUSO (Moonee Valley Race 1)

We were on and despite some (very) anxious moments, Seguso showed his potential here with a very good first-up win. He's city class for sure and I am very keen to stick with him as he steps up in grade and distance, I could really see a horse like this graduate to a Listed race somewhere this prep on the face value of this performance - the overall time wasn't massive, but visually the win was excellent.

THE MARKET SAID...

PROBABEEL (Caulfield 1st R6, $4.4 - $3.5) was the horse to beat in the Futurity and so it was - this Kiwi star has come back in career best form and absolutely smashed the line here ripping home in some slick late splits. She will be awfully hard to beat in the All Star Mile AND we have another top line dominant WFA mare on our hands.